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Crypto Exchange Coinbase Could Earn $1.2B in Revenue Next Year From Higher Interest Rates, JPMorgan Says

Crypto Exchange Coinbase Could Earn .2B in Revenue Next Year From Higher Interest Rates, JPMorgan Says

Over half of that would come from the company’s share on interest income from USDC reserves.

Crypto exchange Coinbase Global (COIN) may be able to generate $1.2 billion of additional interest income-driven revenue in 2023 given the increases in short-term interest rates, JPMorgan analyst Ken Worthington told clients in a note earlier this week.

Coinbase’s joint venture with USDC issuer Circle alone could contribute about $700 million of incremental revenue, JPMorgan estimates. The two firms formed a joint venture in 2018 called the CENTRE Consortium, which included a revenue share on interest income from USDC reserves.

Additional ways Coinbase caould earn interest income are from customer fiat and its corporate cash balance, JPMorgan noted, adding up to a potential total of $1.2 billion in added revenue next year.

The bank said that a key risk for Coinbase realizing its interest income is the possibility of a reduced holding of USDC and fiat currency with the exchange.

“We see the potential for institutional investors to hold less USDC given the opportunity cost of holding quasi-cash that doesn’t offer a yield. We also see retail holding less of its fiat at Coinbase since it doesn’t get a yield. As such, we see the potential for USDC balances and fiat balances to decline for Coinbase,” JPMorgan wrote.

JPMorgan kept its neutral stock rating on Coinbase, though it raised its price target to $78 from $64.

Shares of Coinbase were trading at about $74.60 Friday morning, down 2.6%. The stock is down about 70% year to date.

This article was originally published on coindesk.com

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